According to
Drewry analysis, which includes a forecast for 2023, in just three years, the
container shipping industry will have made as much money as the entire previous
six decades.
Nevertheless,
container shipping’s credit rating remains poor despite the record earnings, something
of potential alarm as the box market now shows multiple signs of weakening.
Maersk remains the only
investment-grade credit in the container shipping space, Alphaliner reports, citing the
latest upgrades from Moody’s ratings agency.
“Despite the rating
upgrades received during the pandemic, the container shipping sector remains a
speculative credit risk,” Alphaliner warned in its latest weekly report with
only Maersk deemed to have moderate credit risk, albeit with certain
speculative characteristics.
Further
improvements to container ratings will now depend on the extent of shareholder
payouts, earning and cash flow to debt ratios, and long-term EBIT margins,
Alphaliner explained.
The seven
container credits covered by Moody’s, which include tonnage providers, showed
significant movement over the past six months as the chart below shows