The foreshores of Indian recycling yards
are hives of activity as Bangladeshi competitors wrestle with Hong Kong
Convention (HKC) compliance issues and not a single yard in Pakistan has been
certified for the convention.
Some of the recent activity in Alang has resulted from the arrival of vessels
sanctioned by the US Office of Foreign Assets Control
(OFAC), according to the latest report from GMS, the world’s largest cash buyer
of end-of-life ships.
The sanctioned vessels, understood to
have been turned down at other recycling locations anxious not to risk
violating US regulations, have headed to India, reported to the second largest
supplier of sanctioned technologies to Russia. The alleged demo deals could be
likely to land India in more trouble with Trump.
Amongst the recent arrivals in Alang are several aged LNG carriers
which, GMS notes, are rich in non-ferrous materials and command a significant
price premium. This is counterintuitive in some respects since analysts are
predicting an imminent shortage of LNG carrier capacity as more production
comes on stream, particularly in the US.
Construction yards are full, they point
out, while retrofits and upgrades are commercially possible at repair yards
that are not involved in the race to build new carriers. The projects are complex and expensive,
but steam turbine conversions could result in a new lease of life for many
elderly units.
Still leading the price table in theory, Pakistan has seen no new demo
arrivals at its beaches for three weeks. Recyclers there have been reticent to
accept smaller vessels owing to the complicated process of obtaining Documents
of Authorisation for Ship Recycling certificates. DASRs are now understood to
be issued there only to yards that are actively involved in HKC-related
upgrades.
Meanwhile, Bangladeshi yards have not
followed their usual pattern of a sharp market rebound following the monsoon
months. As in Pakistan, yards show little interest in small units for which a
complex series of mandatory requirements and regulations are now required. The
arrival of LNG carriers at beaches in India has generated interest but no deals
are thought to have gone through yet.
Pakistani yards head the pricing league, at least in theory, with
containers pitched at $450, tankers at $440, and bulk carriers at $420 per
ldt. India is down ten dollars across the
board; Bangladesh a further ten. There has been virtually no international recycling activity in
Turkey for nearly two years now, but theoretical prices are $270, $260, and
$250 per ldt respectively, according to the latest GMS tally.