The proposal has been
discussed within Iran’s leadership and the message has been passed to the
Houthis, according to two senior Iranian sources and a regional source familiar
with the matter.
The sources, who spoke
on condition of anonymity, did not say how the message was conveyed or whether
it followed U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat on Tuesday to strike Iran’s
power infrastructure. The Strait of
Hormuz remains closed after Iran shut the waterway following the conflict that
began on Feb. 28, when Israel and the United States attacked Iran. Before the conflict, the Strait of Hormuz
carried around one-fifth of global energy supplies. A disruption at Bab
el-Mandeb would put pressure on the Middle East’s second major oil export
route, adding fresh risks for global shipping and energy markets.
A source close to the Houthis said the group has
completed preparations to attack shipping by deploying missiles and drones near
the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The weapons have been positioned in Yemen’s
highlands overlooking Hodeidah and the Gulf of Aden, and the group is waiting
for orders to begin operations. The source added that representatives of
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), who are already in Yemen,
would decide when to move to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Tensions between the Houthis and Saudi
Arabia have risen sharply. On Monday, the Houthis fired missiles at Saudi
Arabia after accusing the kingdom of bombing an airport under their control,
breaking a four-year truce between the two sides. Torbjorn Solvedt, principal Middle East
analyst at risk intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft, said the renewed tensions
come at a difficult time for regional energy exports. “If fighting intensifies
and spills over into Red Sea export infrastructure and shipping, it will
threaten the only major alternative route for oil exports from the region,” he
said. Two regional sources close to
Riyadh said Saudi Arabia was taking threats from Iran and the Houthis seriously
and believed the Yemeni group was now closely coordinating with Tehran over the
Red Sea. Since the closure of the
Strait of Hormuz, a significant share of Gulf oil exports has been diverted
through a Saudi pipeline to the Red Sea. The route now carries about 7% of
global energy supplies. During
previous Houthi attacks on commercial shipping linked to the Gaza war, major
shipping companies diverted vessels around southern Africa, increasing voyage
times and transport costs. Saudi Arabia has also redirected about 70%
of its energy exports through its Red Sea port of Yanbu, making the route
increasingly important for regional oil exports. Any attacks on shipping or export
infrastructure in the Red Sea could further disrupt global energy supplies.
One regional source
said Iran’s leadership was seeking to increase pressure on the United States by
raising the potential economic costs through threats to Red Sea shipping and
Saudi oil exports.
“Anybody with a firing
rifle can interrupt the shipping. You don’t have to have sophisticated missiles
to interrupt the shipping,” the source said.
Iran considers the Houthis part of its regional “Axis of Resistance”,
which also includes Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Iraqi Shi’ite armed groups. While
those groups have already become involved in the wider confrontation between
Tehran and Washington, the Houthis have not formally entered the conflict. The United States has long accused Iran of
providing the Houthis with weapons, funding and training, including support
channelled through Hezbollah. Tehran has denied those accusations.