An extension could ease mills’ procurement costs, although traders have warned that additional imports during the domestic harvest could put pressure on farmers’ prices.    Duty-free cotton imports could remain available for another two months as the Centre considers extending the current exemption through December, amid expectations of lower production in the 2026–27 season.     Government and industry sources indicated on 26 October that an order was expected following inter-ministerial consultations. The proposed extension had not been confirmed through a notification in the material available for this report.     The existing arrangement removes the 11% customs duty on cotton imports. Continuing it would give textile manufacturers more time to procure overseas supplies while assessing the size and quality of the domestic harvest.     For mills placing international orders, the final notification will be important because its effective dates and conditions determine which consignments qualify. Procurement commitments and shipping arrangements will need to reflect those provisions.     Trade estimates place production at around 29 million bales in the season that began in October, with deficient rainfall and high temperatures affecting several growing regions. An Indian cotton bale weighs 170 kilograms.     Industry representatives have indicated declines across Maharashtra, Gujarat, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. However, these are preliminary assessments rather than a final production outcome, with subsequent weather and picking conditions still capable of changing supplies.     Some traders have questioned the need for an extended exemption, arguing that Cotton Corporation of India stocks could help meet immediate requirements. Their concern is that imported cotton arriving alongside new-season domestic supplies could weaken prices received by growers.     The policy decision therefore involves balancing manufacturers’ raw-material requirements against farm incomes during the marketing season.     The government announced the present duty exemption on 30 May, making it effective from 1 June to 31 October 2026.     The textiles ministry described the measure as an off-season intervention intended to improve cotton availability, moderate input costs and support textile MSMEs. It also emphasised maintaining market stability and safeguarding farmers’ interests.     Extending the window into November and December would carry the measure into the domestic crop-arrival period. That timing explains the differing positions of mills seeking competitively priced supplies and growers concerned about competition from imports.     For manufacturers, more sourcing flexibility can help production planning. For farmers, the critical issue is how overseas arrivals interact with local purchasing demand.     Removing customs duty does not guarantee that imported cotton will be the cheapest available option. International prices, ocean freight and the rupee’s exchange rate also influence the landed cost.     Elevated freight charges and currency weakness could limit the appeal of overseas purchases even if the exemption continues.     For logistics providers, any additional business will depend on actual purchase contracts and shipment schedules. The proposed policy change does not establish an import-volume commitment or guarantee higher cargo throughput at particular ports.     Mills will also need to consider delivery timing, inland transport, storage and working capital. A favourable purchase price can lose part of its advantage if cargo arrives late or requires prolonged inventory holding.     Alongside temporary import measures, India is pursuing domestic supply improvements through the Mission for Cotton Productivity.     Approved in May 2026 with an outlay of ₹5,659.22 crore for 2026–27 to 2030–31, the programme supports higher-yielding, climate-resilient and pest-resistant seeds, improved cultivation methods and stronger processing standards.     Its scope includes modernising ginning facilities, expanding testing infrastructure and improving traceability through Kasturi Cotton Bharat. Initial implementation is intended to cover 140 districts across 14 states and 2,000 ginning or processing factories.    

These interventions address structural productivity and quality constraints over several years. The immediate decision on duty-free imports concerns how mills bridge near-term requirements while the new harvest develops. Confirmation of the extension, updated crop assessments and actual import quotations will shape purchasing decisions over the coming weeks.