Turkey has been the main destination for Ukrainian
corn in the 2025-26 marketing year. According to Ukraine port line-up data
shared by traders, Turkey imported around 5.3 million metric tons of Ukrainian
corn from July 2025 to June 2026, accounting for about 30% of Ukraine’s total
corn exports.
Uncertainty over logistics and freight has reduced the
availability of imported corn, market participants said. With the local harvest
still weeks away, domestic sellers have raised offers.
“Sellers know that corn won’t come for a while, and there is still time until
our corn harvest,” a corn buyer at a Turkish feed mill said. The buyer put
domestic corn prices at around $295/mt on an EXW basis.
Other importers said prices had reached around $300/mt
on an FOT basis. A corn importer in Ankara said offers for export corn stored
at warehouses in Samsun, Bandırma, İzmir and Karasu had climbed to around
$300/mt.
Ukrainian
sellers, meanwhile, lowered their offers as freight costs increased and demand
weakened following the escalation in Black Sea tensions, traders said. “Because of the tension in the Black Sea,
CIF prices were in the $250s, but when CIF sellers couldn’t find enough demand,
they decreased prices and sold in the high $230s,” a Turkish importer said.
“Now the local sellers who purchased at high prices have increased local
prices.” Market participants expect
domestic prices to rise further as Turkey’s reduced-tariff import quota expires
July 31. However, the quota has not been fully used. Traders said about 310,000
mt remained available from the 3-million-mt quota as of July 29.
Despite rising local prices, corn demand from the feed
sector remained subdued because most feed producers were already covered,
market participants said.
“Demand is slow in terms of feed production,” a
Turkish broker said. The broker added that local prices may be rising because
“the market thinks this port conflict will drag on.”
The Turkish
importer said local offers had increased, but demand remained weak. “The quota
is not fulfilled yet,” the importer said, adding that higher prices were not
significantly affecting end-users because “they have enough stocks to carry
them to the new crop at the end of August.”
The feed mill buyer also said feed producers had not yet been strongly
affected by higher corn prices. “Feed producers are not affected because of
corn until now, in my opinion,” the buyer said. “The most affected raw material
is wheat bran. Corn has been affected as well, but not like other filling raw
materials. We have enough corn in warehouses, and our luck is that it is the
local harvest period for wheat and barley.”
Turkey’s
new-crop corn harvest is expected to start by September, with local supplies
reaching the market the same month. Import duties on corn are set to return to
130% after July 31 to protect the domestic harvest, said the corn
importer. Market participants remain
uncertain whether domestic corn prices will ease after the harvest, as they
continue to monitor Black Sea tensions. “We are in global circumstances where
even farmers are aware of what is going on,” the broker said. “Let’s wait and
see.”
Platts
assessed Ukraine corn FOB POC at $227/mt on July 29 for shipment during Aug.
25-Sept. 8, down $3/mt week over week.