The
Switzerland-headquartered carrier has not formally announced its return to the
Suez Canal route and, so far, its sailings via the waterway have been limited
to eastbound voyages. “It sends a clear
signal that the full resumption of Red Sea transits could come earlier than
anticipated”, said consultant Linerlytica. “MSC’s move to resume partial Red
Sea transits for its Europe-Asia services after CMA CGM and Maersk already
making the switch on both directions may trigger more carriers to reconsider
their Cape diversions,” it added.
Maersk has already returned 30% of its volumes that were routed around
the Cape of Good Hope to Red Sea and Suez Canal transits. The return of the MECL, the ME11 and AE19
services to the Red Sea along with the continued CMA CGM services has prompted
MSC to begin a phased return to the route, which can slash seven to 14 days sailing
time from Asia to Europe.
With Maersk CEO Vincent Clerc already
declaring that the “conditions for a full return to the Red Sea have already
been met,” it would seem that the race to return to the shorter transit times
has begun in earnest.
Another driver for
the return to the Suez Canal is Asian port delays as congestion has built at
Far Eastern ports due mainly to a series of typhoons. “Congestion remains
elevated over the past week particularly in China where waiting times at key ports in Shanghai, Ningbo and
Shenzhen are as high as 12 days as they continue to work through the vessel
backlog from last week’s typhoon,” said Linerlytica. Competition for market share may have added
to the pressure for MSC to return to Suez, while the Gemini Cooperation has
made reliability a cornerstone of its services, claiming more than 90% of
on-time transits — port delays will certainly impact that target. Asia to Europe rates have slipped for the
sixth consecutive week according to the Shanghai Container Freight Index, down
14% and 17%, to North Europe and the Mediterranean respectively, as the
consultant says volumes in the trade have peaked . “Although some carriers are
aiming for a modest rate hike in September of around $500/feu, the market
momentum remains negative,” said Linerlytica.