According to Veson Nautical, the use of container ships to transport light vehicles has evolved from a temporary solution into “a structural feature of the trade” as the market struggles to keep pace with surging Chinese exports.   The maritime software and analytics company estimates around 2m vehicles will move via alternative shipping modes in 2026, primarily in containers, doubling last year’s estimate of more than 1m units. “The most striking consequence of China’s export ambitions is the growing use of container vessels as an overflow solution,” Veson said.

China is projected to export 10m light vehicles this year across all transport modes, but growth in the global pure car and truck carrier (PCTC) fleet is expected to reach only 7.6% year-on-year. Much of that additional capacity will also arrive progressively throughout the year, limiting its immediate impact.

The mismatch between cargo demand and specialist vessel supply is forcing exporters to increasingly rely on liner services to move vehicles to overseas markets.   Veson argued the shift reflects a broader transformation in global automotive trade driven by China’s emergence as the world’s dominant vehicle exporter.      In just five years, China’s annual light vehicle exports have climbed from 1.6m units in 2021 to a projected 10m units this year. Momentum continues to accelerate, with 4.06m vehicles exported during the first five months of 2026, up 63% year-on-year, according to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).